We know what we think and feel in the moment, but are much less effective at guessing how we will respond to different conditions in the future. I see this all the time as a pollster who thinks about how to ask people questions that will reveal how they genuinely think and feel. Similarly, if you ask voters how they feel today about Donald Trump, trust me — they know. Voters’ attitudes toward Mr. Trump and his personal character have been long established. As a result, one of my biggest pet peeves as a pollster is the “more or less likely” survey question.

Source: New York Times June 06, 2024 14:50 UTC